Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$555.41 - $1,232.33$801.10
Multi-Stage$402.35 - $439.36$420.52
Blended Fair Value$610.81
Current Price$758.15
Upside-19.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.66%9.72%6.646.035.434.393.663.503.182.822.662.64
YoY Growth--10.10%11.08%23.55%19.93%4.70%10.03%12.92%5.76%1.00%0.46%
Dividend Yield--0.88%0.95%1.39%1.81%1.31%1.73%1.76%1.52%1.52%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,640.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)879.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,761.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)728.12455.07273.04
Cash Retained (M)2,761.522,761.522,761.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-728.12-455.07-273.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,033.402,306.442,488.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)129.73129.73129.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share15.6717.7819.18
LTM Dividend per Share6.786.786.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share15.6717.7819.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend22.4524.5625.96
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$555.41$801.10$1,232.33
Upside / Downside-26.74%5.66%62.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,640.583,877.224,129.244,397.644,683.484,987.915,137.55
Payout Ratio24.15%37.32%50.49%63.66%76.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)879.061,446.862,084.762,799.473,598.294,489.124,752.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,305.771,318.151,330.53
Year 2 PV (M)1,698.001,730.341,762.99
Year 3 PV (M)2,057.782,116.852,177.05
Year 4 PV (M)2,387.052,478.842,573.27
Year 5 PV (M)2,687.622,817.432,952.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,060.4644,092.0046,201.28
Equity Value (M)52,196.6854,553.6256,997.33
Shares Outstanding (M)129.73129.73129.73
Fair Value$402.35$420.52$439.36
Upside / Downside-46.93%-44.53%-42.05%

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