Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PCG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.55 - $14.05$11.71
Multi-Stage$16.60 - $18.28$17.42
Blended Fair Value$14.57
Current Price$15.08
Upside-3.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-20.27%0.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.460.420.39
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%10.86%7.59%3.38%
Dividend Yield--0.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.63%0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,707.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)188.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,519.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)541.40338.38203.03
Cash Retained (M)2,519.002,519.002,519.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-541.40-338.38-203.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,977.602,180.632,315.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,207.752,207.752,207.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$9.55$11.71$14.05
Upside / Downside-36.69%-22.34%-6.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,707.002,679.932,653.132,626.602,600.332,574.332,651.56
Payout Ratio6.94%23.56%40.17%56.78%73.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)188.00631.281,065.681,491.331,908.362,316.902,452.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.07%8.07%8.07%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)578.24584.15590.05
Year 2 PV (M)894.13912.47931.00
Year 3 PV (M)1,146.131,181.581,217.75
Year 4 PV (M)1,343.411,399.091,456.48
Year 5 PV (M)1,493.971,571.771,652.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,196.4832,820.9534,512.40
Equity Value (M)36,652.3838,470.0140,360.45
Shares Outstanding (M)2,207.752,207.752,207.75
Fair Value$16.60$17.42$18.28
Upside / Downside10.09%15.55%21.23%

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