Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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PT Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk (PANR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,043.67 - $11,669.91$7,380.44
Multi-Stage$5,904.14 - $6,478.00$6,185.66
Blended Fair Value$6,783.05
Current Price$885.00
Upside666.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.003.535.25
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-32.78%-25.79%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.53%1.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)347,296.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)83,250.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)264,046.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69,459.3943,412.1226,047.27
Cash Retained (M)264,046.93264,046.93264,046.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-69,459.39-43,412.12-26,047.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)194,587.54220,634.81237,999.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,387.501,387.501,387.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share140.24159.02171.53
LTM Dividend per Share60.0060.0060.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share140.24159.02171.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend200.24219.02231.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate2.69%3.69%4.69%
Fair Value$5,043.67$7,380.44$11,669.91
Upside / Downside469.91%733.95%1,218.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)347,296.93360,122.85373,422.44387,213.20401,513.25416,341.42428,831.66
Payout Ratio23.97%37.18%50.38%63.59%76.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)83,250.00133,881.70188,139.58246,222.43308,338.76374,707.28396,669.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate2.69%3.69%4.69%
Year 1 PV (M)124,183.14125,392.40126,601.67
Year 2 PV (M)161,868.75165,036.57168,235.10
Year 3 PV (M)196,495.16202,291.51208,200.74
Year 4 PV (M)228,241.07237,261.99246,547.72
Year 5 PV (M)257,275.96270,048.76283,323.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,223,924.747,582,565.837,955,311.72
Equity Value (M)8,191,988.828,582,597.078,988,220.84
Shares Outstanding (M)1,387.501,387.501,387.50
Fair Value$5,904.14$6,185.66$6,478.00
Upside / Downside567.13%598.94%631.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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