Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Orion Oyj (ORNAV.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - GeneralSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.64 - $168.33$88.44
Multi-Stage$79.63 - $87.38$83.43
Blended Fair Value$85.93
Current Price$65.15
Upside31.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.54%2.61%1.621.601.501.501.501.501.451.551.311.30
YoY Growth--1.38%6.49%0.00%0.05%-0.05%3.58%-6.47%18.74%0.16%4.03%
Dividend Yield--2.96%4.76%3.65%3.65%4.40%4.03%4.26%6.24%2.67%4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)313.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)229.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.6439.1523.49
Cash Retained (M)83.6083.6083.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.64-39.15-23.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)20.9644.4560.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)140.56140.56140.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.320.43
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.320.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.781.952.06
WACC / Discount Rate5.55%5.55%5.55%
Growth Rate2.27%3.27%4.27%
Fair Value$55.64$88.44$168.33
Upside / Downside-14.60%35.74%158.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)313.20323.44334.02344.94356.22367.87378.91
Payout Ratio73.31%76.65%79.98%83.32%86.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)229.60247.91267.16287.42308.71331.09350.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.55%5.55%5.55%
Growth Rate2.27%3.27%4.27%
Year 1 PV (M)232.60234.88237.15
Year 2 PV (M)235.20239.82244.49
Year 3 PV (M)237.41244.44251.61
Year 4 PV (M)239.26248.75258.53
Year 5 PV (M)240.76252.76265.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,006.9610,505.8711,024.47
Equity Value (M)11,192.1911,726.5212,281.49
Shares Outstanding (M)140.56140.56140.56
Fair Value$79.63$83.43$87.38
Upside / Downside22.22%28.05%34.11%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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