Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Onity Group Inc. (ONIT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - MortgagesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.35 - $37.32$31.77
Multi-Stage$40.99 - $45.13$43.02
Blended Fair Value$37.39
Current Price$39.96
Upside-6.42%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.844.282.57
Cash Retained (M)33.7033.7033.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.84-4.28-2.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.8629.4331.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.448.448.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.183.483.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.183.483.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.243.543.75
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate-2.56%-1.56%-0.56%
Fair Value$26.35$31.77$37.32
Upside / Downside-34.06%-20.50%-6.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.2033.6733.1432.6232.1131.6132.56
Payout Ratio1.46%19.17%36.88%54.58%72.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.506.4512.2217.8123.2128.4530.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.42%9.42%9.42%
Growth Rate-2.56%-1.56%-0.56%
Year 1 PV (M)5.845.905.96
Year 2 PV (M)10.0010.2110.42
Year 3 PV (M)13.1813.5914.01
Year 4 PV (M)15.5516.2016.86
Year 5 PV (M)17.2418.1419.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)284.35299.25314.76
Equity Value (M)346.16363.28381.09
Shares Outstanding (M)8.448.448.44
Fair Value$40.99$43.02$45.13
Upside / Downside2.59%7.66%12.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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