Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Ölgerðin Egill Skallagrímsson hf. (OLGERD.IC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.98 - $10.94$8.80
Multi-Stage$17.09 - $18.81$17.93
Blended Fair Value$13.37
Current Price$18.20
Upside-26.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.450.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,259.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,418.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)840.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)451.93282.45169.47
Cash Retained (M)840.78840.78840.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-451.93-282.45-169.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)388.85558.32671.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,124.663,124.663,124.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.12%6.12%6.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.98$8.80$10.94
Upside / Downside-61.62%-51.64%-39.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,259.642,237.042,214.672,192.522,170.602,148.892,213.36
Payout Ratio62.79%68.23%73.67%79.12%84.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,418.861,526.401,631.651,734.651,835.421,934.002,047.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.12%6.12%6.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,423.891,438.421,452.94
Year 2 PV (M)1,419.841,448.971,478.39
Year 3 PV (M)1,408.091,451.631,496.07
Year 4 PV (M)1,389.821,447.431,506.80
Year 5 PV (M)1,366.121,437.251,511.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)46,397.2348,813.2451,328.87
Equity Value (M)53,404.9956,036.9458,774.39
Shares Outstanding (M)3,124.663,124.663,124.66
Fair Value$17.09$17.93$18.81
Upside / Downside-6.09%-1.46%3.35%

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