Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Verbund AG (OEWA.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$351.14 - $973.31$912.13
Multi-Stage$140.17 - $153.17$146.55
Blended Fair Value$529.34
Current Price$61.90
Upside755.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS67.68%18.73%5.574.471.050.750.690.420.510.350.470.46
YoY Growth--24.48%325.84%40.02%8.69%64.30%-18.06%45.26%-25.69%4.01%-54.34%
Dividend Yield--8.51%6.53%1.31%0.79%1.11%1.27%1.19%1.50%2.98%4.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,700.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,329.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)370.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)340.06212.53127.52
Cash Retained (M)370.83370.83370.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-340.06-212.53-127.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.77158.29243.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)347.42347.42347.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.460.70
LTM Dividend per Share3.833.833.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.460.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.924.284.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$351.14$912.13$973.31
Upside / Downside467.26%1,373.56%1,472.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,700.281,810.791,928.502,053.852,187.352,329.532,399.41
Payout Ratio78.19%80.55%82.91%85.28%87.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,329.451,458.631,598.991,751.441,916.952,096.572,219.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,354.511,367.341,380.18
Year 2 PV (M)1,378.851,405.111,431.62
Year 3 PV (M)1,402.491,442.751,483.77
Year 4 PV (M)1,425.441,480.261,536.64
Year 5 PV (M)1,447.721,517.641,590.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,687.2043,700.7145,791.28
Equity Value (M)48,696.2050,913.8153,213.74
Shares Outstanding (M)347.42347.42347.42
Fair Value$140.17$146.55$153.17
Upside / Downside126.44%136.75%147.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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