Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

NRJ Group S.A. (NRG.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.04 - $15.94$12.73
Multi-Stage$20.41 - $22.42$21.39
Blended Fair Value$17.06
Current Price$7.32
Upside133.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.86%0.00%0.340.260.210.210.000.170.150.000.000.00
YoY Growth--30.80%23.86%-0.02%0.00%-100.00%13.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.86%3.53%3.10%3.74%0.00%2.54%2.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)76.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.66
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.289.555.73
Cash Retained (M)27.6627.6627.66
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.28-9.55-5.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.3718.1121.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)77.4077.4077.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.230.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.630.630.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.230.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.790.860.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-1.06%-0.06%0.94%
Fair Value$10.04$12.73$15.94
Upside / Downside37.17%73.88%117.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)76.4276.3776.3376.2976.2476.2078.48
Payout Ratio63.81%69.05%74.28%79.52%84.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48.7652.7356.7060.6764.6268.5872.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-1.06%-0.06%0.94%
Year 1 PV (M)48.9249.4149.90
Year 2 PV (M)48.7949.7850.78
Year 3 PV (M)48.4249.9051.42
Year 4 PV (M)47.8549.8151.83
Year 5 PV (M)47.1049.5352.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,338.311,407.321,479.15
Equity Value (M)1,579.381,655.751,735.14
Shares Outstanding (M)77.4077.4077.40
Fair Value$20.41$21.39$22.42
Upside / Downside178.76%192.24%206.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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