Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Nordrest Holding AB (publ) (NREST.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$82.05 - $119.94$100.33
Multi-Stage$144.96 - $159.16$151.92
Blended Fair Value$126.13
Current Price$205.00
Upside-38.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%7.061.551.550.210.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--356.45%0.00%624.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.22%1.34%1.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)140.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)76.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.0617.5410.52
Cash Retained (M)76.6876.6876.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.06-17.54-10.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.6259.1466.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.9312.9312.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.764.575.12
LTM Dividend per Share4.924.924.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.764.575.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.689.5010.04
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$82.05$100.33$119.94
Upside / Downside-59.98%-51.06%-41.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)140.31138.91137.52136.14134.78133.44137.44
Payout Ratio45.35%54.28%63.21%72.14%81.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.6375.4086.9398.21109.27120.09127.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)68.8769.5770.28
Year 2 PV (M)72.5374.0275.52
Year 3 PV (M)74.8577.1779.53
Year 4 PV (M)76.0779.2282.47
Year 5 PV (M)76.3780.3584.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,505.421,583.811,665.44
Equity Value (M)1,874.121,964.142,057.72
Shares Outstanding (M)12.9312.9312.93
Fair Value$144.96$151.92$159.16
Upside / Downside-29.29%-25.89%-22.36%

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