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Definitive Analysis

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Canadian Net Real Estate Investment Trust (NET-UN.V)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.25 - $130.20$122.02
Multi-Stage$19.49 - $21.32$20.39
Blended Fair Value$71.20
Current Price$5.48
Upside1,199.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.61%28.93%0.340.340.340.270.180.120.090.060.040.03
YoY Growth---0.05%1.84%24.91%48.56%52.80%33.97%43.57%49.98%20.04%26.98%
Dividend Yield--6.47%6.93%6.34%3.34%2.61%2.17%1.59%1.07%0.71%0.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.701.681.01
Cash Retained (M)6.356.356.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.70-1.68-1.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.664.675.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.5920.5920.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$56.25$122.02$130.20
Upside / Downside926.52%2,126.60%2,275.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13.4814.3615.2916.2817.3418.4719.02
Payout Ratio52.87%60.29%67.72%75.15%82.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.138.6610.3512.2414.3216.6217.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8.058.138.20
Year 2 PV (M)8.969.139.30
Year 3 PV (M)9.8510.1310.42
Year 4 PV (M)10.7311.1411.56
Year 5 PV (M)11.5812.1412.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)352.09369.10386.75
Equity Value (M)401.26419.77438.97
Shares Outstanding (M)20.5920.5920.59
Fair Value$19.49$20.39$21.32
Upside / Downside255.65%272.05%289.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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