Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Mayora Indah Tbk (MYOR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,995.02 - $25,251.09$23,663.97
Multi-Stage$3,539.26 - $3,871.99$3,702.58
Blended Fair Value$13,683.27
Current Price$2,030.00
Upside574.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.66%19.58%55.0935.0521.0352.0830.0529.0527.0421.0312.326.68
YoY Growth--57.14%66.67%-59.62%73.33%3.45%7.41%28.57%70.79%84.39%-27.52%
Dividend Yield--2.71%1.39%0.79%2.96%1.15%1.57%1.06%0.71%0.58%0.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,834,439.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,278,816.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,555,622.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)566,887.95354,304.97212,582.98
Cash Retained (M)1,555,622.831,555,622.831,555,622.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-566,887.95-354,304.97-212,582.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)988,734.881,201,317.861,343,039.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22,323.7622,323.7622,323.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share44.2953.8160.16
LTM Dividend per Share57.2957.2957.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share44.2953.8160.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend101.58111.10117.45
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$8,995.02$23,663.97$25,251.09
Upside / Downside343.10%1,065.71%1,143.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,834,439.773,018,678.353,214,892.443,423,860.453,646,411.383,883,428.123,999,930.97
Payout Ratio45.12%54.09%63.07%72.05%81.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,278,816.941,632,914.132,027,640.962,466,783.222,954,447.193,495,085.313,699,936.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,516,131.881,530,502.801,544,873.72
Year 2 PV (M)1,747,987.491,781,281.741,814,890.09
Year 3 PV (M)1,974,476.102,031,156.222,088,910.80
Year 4 PV (M)2,195,688.662,280,128.652,366,981.03
Year 5 PV (M)2,411,714.762,528,201.482,649,146.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)69,163,489.2372,504,111.6275,972,587.49
Equity Value (M)79,009,488.1282,655,382.5186,437,389.56
Shares Outstanding (M)22,323.7622,323.7622,323.76
Fair Value$3,539.26$3,702.58$3,871.99
Upside / Downside74.35%82.39%90.74%

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