Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

MaxiPARTS Limited (MXI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.37 - $1.97$1.66
Multi-Stage$3.29 - $3.63$3.45
Blended Fair Value$2.56
Current Price$2.29
Upside11.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%-10.91%0.050.040.040.410.000.000.050.120.110.07
YoY Growth--11.74%3.48%-89.92%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-57.23%10.21%55.67%-53.45%
Dividend Yield--2.08%2.16%1.55%21.73%0.00%0.00%3.66%4.81%3.29%3.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.101.310.79
Cash Retained (M)5.635.635.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.10-1.31-0.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.534.324.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.7753.7753.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-4.07%-3.07%-2.07%
Fair Value$1.37$1.66$1.97
Upside / Downside-40.33%-27.43%-13.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.4810.169.859.559.258.979.24
Payout Ratio46.30%55.04%63.78%72.52%81.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.855.596.286.927.528.078.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.88%6.88%6.88%
Growth Rate-4.07%-3.07%-2.07%
Year 1 PV (M)5.185.235.29
Year 2 PV (M)5.395.505.61
Year 3 PV (M)5.505.675.85
Year 4 PV (M)5.535.766.00
Year 5 PV (M)5.505.796.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)149.82157.79166.10
Equity Value (M)176.90185.75194.95
Shares Outstanding (M)53.7753.7753.77
Fair Value$3.29$3.45$3.63
Upside / Downside43.67%50.85%58.32%

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