Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Materion Corporation (MTRN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.14 - $18.53$14.40
Multi-Stage$12.40 - $13.54$12.96
Blended Fair Value$13.68
Current Price$119.43
Upside-88.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.60%4.91%0.530.510.490.460.440.420.400.380.360.34
YoY Growth--4.39%4.54%4.77%4.75%4.53%5.57%6.02%5.56%5.10%3.89%
Dividend Yield--0.64%0.39%0.42%0.53%0.65%1.20%0.70%0.74%1.07%1.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.882.421.45
Cash Retained (M)8.008.008.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.88-2.42-1.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.125.576.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.9020.9020.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.270.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.550.550.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.270.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.810.86
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate2.91%3.91%4.91%
Fair Value$11.14$14.40$18.53
Upside / Downside-90.67%-87.94%-84.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19.4020.1620.9521.7622.6223.5024.21
Payout Ratio58.77%65.01%71.26%77.51%83.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.4013.1014.9316.8718.9421.1522.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate2.91%3.91%4.91%
Year 1 PV (M)11.8211.9412.05
Year 2 PV (M)12.1512.3912.63
Year 3 PV (M)12.3912.7513.13
Year 4 PV (M)12.5513.0513.56
Year 5 PV (M)12.6413.2713.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)197.69207.48217.66
Equity Value (M)259.25270.88282.94
Shares Outstanding (M)20.9020.9020.90
Fair Value$12.40$12.96$13.54
Upside / Downside-89.61%-89.15%-88.66%

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