Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,561.53 - $12,214.23$11,446.53
Multi-Stage$1,839.33 - $2,013.22$1,924.68
Blended Fair Value$6,685.60
Current Price$600.00
Upside1,014.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.24%24.82%21.0014.5010.507.406.605.002.001.061.030.91
YoY Growth--44.83%38.10%41.89%12.12%32.00%150.00%87.88%2.86%13.14%-60.00%
Dividend Yield--3.85%2.40%1.81%1.09%2.04%2.21%0.95%0.67%0.84%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)754,005.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)294,645.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)459,360.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)150,801.0094,250.6356,550.38
Cash Retained (M)459,360.00459,360.00459,360.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-150,801.00-94,250.63-56,550.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)308,559.00365,109.38402,809.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12,276.8912,276.8912,276.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share25.1329.7432.81
LTM Dividend per Share24.0024.0024.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share25.1329.7432.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend49.1353.7456.81
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,561.53$11,446.53$12,214.23
Upside / Downside826.92%1,807.75%1,935.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)754,005.00803,015.33855,211.32910,800.06970,002.061,033,052.191,064,043.76
Payout Ratio39.08%49.26%59.45%69.63%79.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)294,645.00395,580.30508,392.31634,198.56774,211.66929,746.98984,240.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)368,184.18371,674.08375,163.97
Year 2 PV (M)440,412.78448,801.40457,269.17
Year 3 PV (M)511,348.11526,027.08540,984.31
Year 4 PV (M)581,007.29603,351.19626,333.44
Year 5 PV (M)649,407.22680,773.83713,340.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,030,938.7720,998,440.6122,002,971.01
Equity Value (M)22,581,298.3523,629,068.1824,716,062.82
Shares Outstanding (M)12,276.8912,276.8912,276.89
Fair Value$1,839.33$1,924.68$2,013.22
Upside / Downside206.56%220.78%235.54%

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