Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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MSCI Inc. (MSCI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$325.27 - $751.24$475.64
Multi-Stage$238.40 - $260.04$249.02
Blended Fair Value$362.33
Current Price$567.41
Upside-36.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.96%37.95%6.555.674.803.893.172.872.201.541.241.13
YoY Growth--15.45%18.26%23.30%22.73%10.55%30.41%42.79%24.46%9.63%330.26%
Dividend Yield--1.16%1.02%0.86%0.77%0.76%0.99%1.09%1.03%1.27%1.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,223.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)546.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)676.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)244.63152.8991.74
Cash Retained (M)676.64676.64676.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-244.63-152.89-91.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)432.01523.74584.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)77.7477.7477.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.566.747.52
LTM Dividend per Share7.037.037.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.566.747.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.5913.7714.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$325.27$475.64$751.24
Upside / Downside-42.67%-16.17%32.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,223.151,302.661,387.331,477.501,573.541,675.821,726.10
Payout Ratio44.68%53.74%62.81%71.87%80.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)546.52700.11871.361,061.921,273.571,508.241,596.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)632.89638.89644.89
Year 2 PV (M)712.07725.63739.32
Year 3 PV (M)784.47806.99829.93
Year 4 PV (M)850.48883.19916.83
Year 5 PV (M)910.49954.471,000.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,642.4515,349.6816,083.99
Equity Value (M)18,532.8419,358.8520,215.09
Shares Outstanding (M)77.7477.7477.74
Fair Value$238.40$249.02$260.04
Upside / Downside-57.99%-56.11%-54.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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