Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Maskapai Reasuransi Indonesia Tbk (MREI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - ReinsuranceSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$655.99 - $863.34$764.42
Multi-Stage$1,167.04 - $1,291.11$1,227.78
Blended Fair Value$996.10
Current Price$925.00
Upside7.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-23.01%-7.61%13.4513.450.0049.6249.6749.7454.6441.1034.9229.73
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%-0.09%-0.14%-8.97%32.95%17.70%17.45%0.18%
Dividend Yield--1.78%0.90%0.00%1.54%0.99%0.94%0.85%0.85%0.92%0.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92,098.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,022.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)85,076.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,419.8011,512.376,907.42
Cash Retained (M)85,076.3285,076.3285,076.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,419.80-11,512.37-6,907.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)66,656.5373,563.9578,168.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)517.79517.79517.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share128.73142.07150.97
LTM Dividend per Share13.5613.5613.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share128.73142.07150.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend142.29155.64164.53
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-9.61%-8.61%-7.61%
Fair Value$655.99$764.42$863.34
Upside / Downside-29.08%-17.36%-6.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92,098.9884,171.5776,926.5170,305.0664,253.5658,722.9460,484.63
Payout Ratio7.63%24.10%40.58%57.05%73.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,022.6520,285.4331,212.9840,109.0747,242.4452,850.6555,948.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-9.61%-8.61%-7.61%
Year 1 PV (M)18,239.5118,441.3018,643.08
Year 2 PV (M)25,234.4425,795.8526,363.45
Year 3 PV (M)29,156.1430,134.5431,134.58
Year 4 PV (M)30,877.9932,267.2333,702.82
Year 5 PV (M)31,059.6232,816.0934,651.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)469,715.06496,278.30524,029.92
Equity Value (M)604,282.76635,733.30668,525.00
Shares Outstanding (M)517.79517.79517.79
Fair Value$1,167.04$1,227.78$1,291.11
Upside / Downside26.17%32.73%39.58%

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