Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Meridian Corporation (MRBK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.25 - $351.92$172.01
Multi-Stage$39.91 - $43.66$41.75
Blended Fair Value$106.88
Current Price$15.79
Upside576.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.490.490.960.850.130.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---0.23%-48.64%12.92%534.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.40%4.96%7.58%5.27%1.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.052.531.52
Cash Retained (M)14.6114.6114.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.05-2.53-1.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.5612.0813.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4411.4411.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.921.061.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.921.061.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.421.551.64
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$76.25$172.01$351.92
Upside / Downside382.91%989.35%2,128.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.2521.5722.9724.4626.0527.7528.58
Payout Ratio27.85%40.28%52.71%65.14%77.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.648.6912.1115.9320.2124.9726.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8.018.088.16
Year 2 PV (M)10.2910.4810.68
Year 3 PV (M)12.4812.8413.21
Year 4 PV (M)14.5915.1615.73
Year 5 PV (M)16.6217.4318.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)394.71413.77433.56
Equity Value (M)456.70477.76499.61
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4411.4411.44
Fair Value$39.91$41.75$43.66
Upside / Downside152.74%164.39%176.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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