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Mashreqbank PSC (MASQ.AE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,225.76 - $8,031.86$7,081.69
Multi-Stage$1,032.75 - $1,129.12$1,080.06
Blended Fair Value$4,080.87
Current Price$240.00
Upside1,600.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS39.44%0.00%18.479.071.150.163.503.503.593.593.590.00
YoY Growth--103.65%687.56%611.15%-95.38%0.00%-2.29%-0.12%0.12%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.00%5.24%0.96%0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,185.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,297.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,887.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,637.071,023.17613.90
Cash Retained (M)3,887.403,887.403,887.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,637.07-1,023.17-613.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,250.332,864.233,273.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)202.68202.68202.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.1014.1316.15
LTM Dividend per Share21.2121.2121.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.1014.1316.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend32.3135.3437.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,225.76$7,081.69$8,031.86
Upside / Downside827.40%2,850.70%3,246.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,185.378,717.429,284.059,887.5110,530.2011,214.6611,551.10
Payout Ratio52.51%60.01%67.50%75.00%82.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,297.975,231.006,267.177,415.958,687.5810,093.2010,684.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,841.464,887.354,933.24
Year 2 PV (M)5,368.525,470.785,574.00
Year 3 PV (M)5,879.516,048.296,220.27
Year 4 PV (M)6,374.776,619.936,872.09
Year 5 PV (M)6,854.667,185.757,529.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)179,995.69188,689.55197,716.14
Equity Value (M)209,314.62218,901.64228,845.24
Shares Outstanding (M)202.68202.68202.68
Fair Value$1,032.75$1,080.06$1,129.12
Upside / Downside330.31%350.02%370.47%

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