Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Plaza S.A. (MALLPLAZA.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,714.29 - $22,557.73$12,142.59
Multi-Stage$5,085.52 - $5,560.62$5,318.74
Blended Fair Value$8,730.67
Current Price$2,078.80
Upside319.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.47%0.00%58.970.0121.294.1114.8623.2420.3817.5517.770.00
YoY Growth--1,107,739.10%-99.98%417.57%-72.31%-36.08%14.05%16.10%-1.23%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.00%0.00%2.17%0.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)652,860.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93,890.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)558,970.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)130,572.1381,607.5848,964.55
Cash Retained (M)558,970.38558,970.38558,970.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-130,572.13-81,607.58-48,964.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)428,398.25477,362.80510,005.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,132.442,132.442,132.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share200.90223.86239.17
LTM Dividend per Share44.0344.0344.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share200.90223.86239.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend244.93267.89283.20
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,714.29$12,142.59$22,557.73
Upside / Downside271.09%484.12%985.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)652,860.64695,296.58740,490.86788,622.77839,883.25894,475.66921,309.93
Payout Ratio14.38%29.51%44.63%59.75%74.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93,890.26205,147.89330,472.32471,222.17628,873.27805,028.09852,211.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.85%8.85%8.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)186,699.49188,469.16190,238.82
Year 2 PV (M)273,707.86278,921.23284,183.78
Year 3 PV (M)355,184.50365,380.57375,769.92
Year 4 PV (M)431,387.45447,977.40465,041.30
Year 5 PV (M)502,564.15526,838.18552,041.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,095,011.459,534,303.919,990,409.12
Equity Value (M)10,844,554.9011,341,890.4311,857,684.18
Shares Outstanding (M)2,132.442,132.442,132.44
Fair Value$5,085.52$5,318.74$5,560.62
Upside / Downside144.64%155.86%167.49%

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