Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Malee Group Public Company Limited (MALEE.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.85 - $45.37$18.69
Multi-Stage$9.32 - $10.21$9.76
Blended Fair Value$14.22
Current Price$5.70
Upside149.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.020.000.000.000.130.450.370.28
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%957.37%0.00%-100.00%-100.00%-71.58%19.59%30.94%6.57%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.29%0.03%0.00%0.00%1.63%2.05%0.76%1.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)197.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)143.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.5724.7314.84
Cash Retained (M)143.30143.30143.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.57-24.73-14.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)103.72118.56128.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)544.53544.53544.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate3.90%4.90%5.90%
Fair Value$10.85$18.69$45.37
Upside / Downside90.28%227.87%695.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)197.85207.55217.71228.37239.56251.29258.83
Payout Ratio27.58%40.06%52.55%65.03%77.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.5683.14114.40148.51185.69226.16239.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate3.90%4.90%5.90%
Year 1 PV (M)77.1977.9478.68
Year 2 PV (M)98.61100.51102.44
Year 3 PV (M)118.85122.32125.85
Year 4 PV (M)137.97143.36148.91
Year 5 PV (M)156.01163.67171.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,485.064,705.094,933.68
Equity Value (M)5,073.695,312.885,561.17
Shares Outstanding (M)544.53544.53544.53
Fair Value$9.32$9.76$10.21
Upside / Downside63.47%71.17%79.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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