Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

MFC Patong Heritage Property Fund (M-PAT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.42 - $0.54$0.48
Multi-Stage$1.27 - $1.41$1.34
Blended Fair Value$0.91
Current Price$3.72
Upside-75.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-23.70%-10.90%0.120.000.000.000.040.460.710.710.710.71
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-90.95%-34.74%0.85%-0.42%0.00%86.04%
Dividend Yield--3.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.32%11.60%7.33%7.05%6.86%6.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.722.321.39
Cash Retained (M)6.006.006.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.72-2.32-1.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.283.674.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)105.00105.00105.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-19.95%-18.95%-17.95%
Fair Value$0.42$0.48$0.54
Upside / Downside-88.74%-87.05%-85.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.6015.0812.229.908.036.516.70
Payout Ratio67.74%72.20%76.65%81.10%85.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.6010.889.378.036.875.866.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-19.95%-18.95%-17.95%
Year 1 PV (M)10.0310.1610.28
Year 2 PV (M)7.968.168.36
Year 3 PV (M)6.296.536.78
Year 4 PV (M)4.965.215.48
Year 5 PV (M)3.904.154.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)100.04106.45113.18
Equity Value (M)133.19140.67148.50
Shares Outstanding (M)105.00105.00105.00
Fair Value$1.27$1.34$1.41
Upside / Downside-65.90%-63.99%-61.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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