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Definitive Analysis

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Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.47 - $12.66$11.11
Multi-Stage$18.76 - $20.64$19.68
Blended Fair Value$15.40
Current Price$53.79
Upside-71.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.26%-13.04%0.830.430.000.000.853.343.323.274.133.82
YoY Growth--93.44%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-74.52%0.64%1.77%-20.96%8.02%13.41%
Dividend Yield--2.16%0.81%0.00%0.00%1.40%7.87%5.25%4.54%7.24%7.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,556.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)809.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)747.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)311.20194.50116.70
Cash Retained (M)747.00747.00747.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-311.20-194.50-116.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)435.80552.50630.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)707.75707.75707.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.780.89
LTM Dividend per Share1.141.141.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.780.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.761.922.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.45%9.45%9.45%
Growth Rate-7.70%-6.70%-5.70%
Fair Value$9.47$11.11$12.66
Upside / Downside-82.40%-79.34%-76.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,556.001,451.711,354.421,263.641,178.951,099.931,132.93
Payout Ratio51.99%59.59%67.20%74.80%82.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)809.00865.13910.11945.16971.44989.941,047.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.45%9.45%9.45%
Growth Rate-7.70%-6.70%-5.70%
Year 1 PV (M)781.99790.46798.93
Year 2 PV (M)743.57759.77776.15
Year 3 PV (M)698.00720.94744.37
Year 4 PV (M)648.45677.02706.51
Year 5 PV (M)597.30630.36664.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,807.8810,350.8410,917.58
Equity Value (M)13,277.2013,929.3914,608.42
Shares Outstanding (M)707.75707.75707.75
Fair Value$18.76$19.68$20.64
Upside / Downside-65.12%-63.41%-61.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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