Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.51 - $20.48$16.78
Multi-Stage$17.35 - $18.98$18.15
Blended Fair Value$17.47
Current Price$22.37
Upside-21.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.75%20.80%0.500.480.440.260.160.280.220.170.150.12
YoY Growth--4.20%9.29%66.95%64.05%-44.13%26.57%28.57%16.67%20.00%66.65%
Dividend Yield--2.88%2.63%2.47%1.15%0.67%1.49%1.00%0.78%0.67%0.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)602.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)209.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)393.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)120.5475.3445.20
Cash Retained (M)393.10393.10393.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-120.54-75.34-45.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)272.56317.76347.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)400.25400.25400.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.680.790.87
LTM Dividend per Share0.520.520.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.680.790.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.201.321.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate0.95%1.95%2.95%
Fair Value$13.51$16.78$20.48
Upside / Downside-39.62%-24.97%-8.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)602.70614.43626.38638.57650.99663.66683.57
Payout Ratio34.78%45.82%56.87%67.91%78.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)209.60281.54356.20433.66513.99597.29632.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate0.95%1.95%2.95%
Year 1 PV (M)253.55256.06258.58
Year 2 PV (M)288.90294.66300.46
Year 3 PV (M)316.76326.27335.97
Year 4 PV (M)338.13351.72365.73
Year 5 PV (M)353.87371.74390.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,391.335,663.715,947.00
Equity Value (M)6,942.547,264.177,598.07
Shares Outstanding (M)400.25400.25400.25
Fair Value$17.35$18.15$18.98
Upside / Downside-22.46%-18.87%-15.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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