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Definitive Analysis

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Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.39 - $45.91$30.50
Multi-Stage$15.77 - $17.21$16.48
Blended Fair Value$23.49
Current Price$12.34
Upside90.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.73%0.00%0.290.230.060.000.030.090.040.000.000.00
YoY Growth--28.20%311.22%5,354.76%-96.21%-70.01%113.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.84%1.09%0.43%0.01%0.24%3.32%0.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)186.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)133.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.2223.2613.96
Cash Retained (M)133.17133.17133.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.22-23.26-13.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.96109.91119.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)165.56165.56165.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.580.660.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.580.660.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.900.981.04
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.39$30.50$45.91
Upside / Downside73.36%147.14%272.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)186.08198.17211.05224.77239.38254.94262.59
Payout Ratio28.43%40.74%53.06%65.37%77.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.9080.74111.98146.94185.96229.44242.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)72.7673.4574.14
Year 2 PV (M)90.9292.6694.40
Year 3 PV (M)107.51110.59113.74
Year 4 PV (M)122.61127.32132.17
Year 5 PV (M)136.31142.89149.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,081.022,181.542,285.90
Equity Value (M)2,611.132,728.452,850.08
Shares Outstanding (M)165.56165.56165.56
Fair Value$15.77$16.48$17.21
Upside / Downside27.80%33.55%39.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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