Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

Kazan Public Joint Stock Company Organichesky sintez (KZOS.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$418.10 - $1,372.78$679.53
Multi-Stage$430.97 - $472.90$451.54
Blended Fair Value$565.53
Current Price$77.30
Upside631.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-71.51%-18.47%0.010.004.427.544.124.913.130.990.350.53
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-41.41%82.83%-16.06%57.03%215.93%183.26%-34.32%649.62%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.00%4.93%8.87%4.06%5.34%5.40%2.63%1.62%7.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,140.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,001.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,138.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,828.173,642.612,185.56
Cash Retained (M)23,138.9723,138.9723,138.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,828.17-3,642.61-2,185.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,310.7919,496.3620,953.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,844.911,844.911,844.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.3810.5711.36
LTM Dividend per Share3.253.253.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.3810.5711.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.6413.8214.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate3.23%4.23%5.23%
Fair Value$418.10$679.53$1,372.78
Upside / Downside440.88%779.08%1,675.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,140.8730,374.8131,661.0133,001.6734,399.0935,855.6936,931.36
Payout Ratio20.60%34.48%48.36%62.24%76.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,001.9010,472.3015,310.5320,539.7326,184.3332,270.1234,161.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate3.23%4.23%5.23%
Year 1 PV (M)9,752.149,846.619,941.07
Year 2 PV (M)13,277.1813,535.6513,796.61
Year 3 PV (M)16,587.0117,073.7117,569.84
Year 4 PV (M)19,691.2120,465.3421,262.07
Year 5 PV (M)22,599.0123,714.9724,874.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)713,192.03748,410.10785,005.92
Equity Value (M)795,098.58833,046.38872,450.10
Shares Outstanding (M)1,844.911,844.911,844.91
Fair Value$430.97$451.54$472.90
Upside / Downside457.53%484.14%511.77%

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