Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Krungdhep Sophon Public Company Limited (KWC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$225.32 - $414.78$303.42
Multi-Stage$387.46 - $424.96$405.86
Blended Fair Value$354.64
Current Price$276.00
Upside28.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.86%6.54%10.3610.009.509.509.509.0018.007.005.505.50
YoY Growth--3.63%5.26%0.00%0.00%5.56%-50.00%157.14%27.27%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.43%3.56%3.70%3.77%3.42%3.20%6.38%2.51%2.71%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)74.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.6511.666.99
Cash Retained (M)18.3318.3318.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.65-11.66-6.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.326.6811.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.051.111.89
LTM Dividend per Share12.4812.4812.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.051.111.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.4313.6014.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$225.32$303.42$414.78
Upside / Downside-18.36%9.93%50.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.2594.9996.7598.55100.39102.25105.32
Payout Ratio80.34%82.27%84.20%86.14%88.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)74.9278.1581.4784.8988.4192.0397.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)72.7173.4374.15
Year 2 PV (M)70.5271.9373.35
Year 3 PV (M)68.3770.4272.52
Year 4 PV (M)66.2568.9271.66
Year 5 PV (M)64.1667.4170.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,983.292,083.582,187.88
Equity Value (M)2,325.312,435.692,550.35
Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
Fair Value$387.46$405.86$424.96
Upside / Downside40.39%47.05%53.97%

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