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Definitive Analysis

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KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.73 - $66.31$49.07
Multi-Stage$29.04 - $31.66$30.33
Blended Fair Value$39.70
Current Price$129.95
Upside-69.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.66%-2.46%0.650.600.470.350.320.290.340.330.300.75
YoY Growth--8.66%26.77%34.07%11.47%9.52%-15.78%3.32%9.31%-59.61%-9.99%
Dividend Yield--0.56%0.60%0.90%0.60%0.65%1.23%1.42%1.64%1.67%5.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,350.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)678.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,671.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)470.02293.76176.26
Cash Retained (M)1,671.871,671.871,671.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-470.02-293.76-176.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,201.851,378.101,495.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)938.23938.23938.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.281.471.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.281.471.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.002.192.32
WACC / Discount Rate11.26%11.26%11.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.73$49.07$66.31
Upside / Downside-71.74%-62.24%-48.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,350.112,502.872,665.552,838.823,023.343,219.863,316.45
Payout Ratio28.86%41.09%53.32%65.54%77.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)678.241,028.381,421.171,860.672,351.312,897.873,067.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.26%11.26%11.26%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)915.65924.33933.01
Year 2 PV (M)1,126.681,148.141,169.80
Year 3 PV (M)1,313.421,351.121,389.54
Year 4 PV (M)1,477.821,534.651,593.11
Year 5 PV (M)1,621.691,700.021,781.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,792.8621,797.1622,839.90
Equity Value (M)27,248.1228,455.4329,706.71
Shares Outstanding (M)938.23938.23938.23
Fair Value$29.04$30.33$31.66
Upside / Downside-77.65%-76.66%-75.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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