Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Kijcharoen Engineering Electric Public Company Limited (KJL.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.75 - $10.38$8.44
Multi-Stage$15.27 - $16.78$16.01
Blended Fair Value$12.22
Current Price$6.40
Upside91.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.470.460.670.460.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.83%-30.34%44.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.74%5.92%4.70%5.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)171.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)125.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)46.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.3421.4612.88
Cash Retained (M)46.2646.2646.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.34-21.46-12.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.9124.7933.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)232.00232.00232.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.110.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.110.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.68
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.75$8.44$10.38
Upside / Downside5.46%31.86%62.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)171.71169.99168.29166.61164.95163.30168.19
Payout Ratio73.06%76.45%79.84%83.22%86.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)125.46129.96134.36138.66142.86146.97155.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)120.68121.92123.15
Year 2 PV (M)115.87118.24120.65
Year 3 PV (M)111.04114.48117.98
Year 4 PV (M)106.24110.65115.18
Year 5 PV (M)101.49106.78112.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,986.773,142.303,304.24
Equity Value (M)3,542.113,714.373,893.48
Shares Outstanding (M)232.00232.00232.00
Fair Value$15.27$16.01$16.78
Upside / Downside138.56%150.16%162.23%

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