Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

KB Home (KBH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Residential ConstructionSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$147.71 - $338.94$215.52
Multi-Stage$104.37 - $114.06$109.13
Blended Fair Value$162.32
Current Price$63.55
Upside155.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.57%23.06%0.990.790.730.750.530.280.120.120.120.13
YoY Growth--25.91%8.35%-2.96%42.00%86.87%129.08%2.89%0.65%-6.53%2.27%
Dividend Yield--1.63%1.19%2.07%1.94%1.31%0.87%0.54%0.43%0.67%1.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)517.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)447.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)103.5764.7338.84
Cash Retained (M)447.05447.05447.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-103.57-64.73-38.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)343.48382.32408.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.9971.9971.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.775.315.67
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.775.315.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.756.296.65
WACC / Discount Rate9.61%9.61%9.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$147.71$215.52$338.94
Upside / Downside132.42%239.13%433.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)517.87551.53587.38625.56666.23709.53730.82
Payout Ratio13.68%28.94%44.21%59.47%74.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.82159.62259.66372.03497.91638.58676.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.61%9.61%9.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)144.26145.62146.99
Year 2 PV (M)212.08216.12220.20
Year 3 PV (M)274.62282.50290.53
Year 4 PV (M)332.16344.94358.08
Year 5 PV (M)385.01403.60422.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,165.666,463.476,772.67
Equity Value (M)7,513.797,856.258,211.38
Shares Outstanding (M)71.9971.9971.99
Fair Value$104.37$109.13$114.06
Upside / Downside64.23%71.72%79.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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