Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Karelia Tobacco Company Inc. (KARE.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TobaccoSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$874.53 - $2,663.35$1,392.58
Multi-Stage$858.45 - $940.76$898.84
Blended Fair Value$1,145.71
Current Price$312.00
Upside267.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.48%3.86%12.4011.8011.009.409.409.499.199.208.519.29
YoY Growth--5.08%7.29%16.99%-0.01%-0.97%3.31%-0.06%8.05%-8.39%9.41%
Dividend Yield--4.00%3.47%3.50%3.33%3.03%3.89%3.51%3.22%3.22%3.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)95.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.0211.897.13
Cash Retained (M)58.4258.4258.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.02-11.89-7.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.4046.5351.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.762.762.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.2716.8618.58
LTM Dividend per Share13.3013.3013.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.2716.8618.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend27.5730.1631.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate3.48%4.48%5.48%
Fair Value$874.53$1,392.58$2,663.35
Upside / Downside180.30%346.34%753.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)95.1299.39103.85108.50113.37118.45122.01
Payout Ratio38.58%48.87%59.15%69.43%79.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.7048.5761.4375.3490.37106.61112.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate3.48%4.48%5.48%
Year 1 PV (M)45.0645.5045.93
Year 2 PV (M)52.8853.9154.94
Year 3 PV (M)60.1761.9463.73
Year 4 PV (M)66.9769.6072.30
Year 5 PV (M)73.3076.9180.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,070.922,172.932,278.93
Equity Value (M)2,369.322,480.792,596.51
Shares Outstanding (M)2.762.762.76
Fair Value$858.45$898.84$940.76
Upside / Downside175.14%188.09%201.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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