Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Jumbo Interactive Limited (JIN.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.51 - $263.46$145.60
Multi-Stage$31.87 - $34.80$33.31
Blended Fair Value$89.45
Current Price$9.80
Upside812.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.30%37.67%0.510.470.430.400.350.400.330.290.060.02
YoY Growth--9.28%7.94%8.32%15.73%-12.43%20.69%11.74%394.21%142.55%16.83%
Dividend Yield--5.23%2.69%3.05%2.82%1.95%4.13%1.60%5.87%2.23%1.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.7010.446.26
Cash Retained (M)21.6321.6321.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.70-10.44-6.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.9211.1915.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63.0563.0563.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.180.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.980.980.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.180.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.061.161.23
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$60.51$145.60$263.46
Upside / Downside517.42%1,385.73%2,588.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.5288.9594.74100.89107.45114.44117.87
Payout Ratio74.11%77.28%80.46%83.64%86.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.9068.7576.2384.3993.29102.99109.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)63.4464.0464.64
Year 2 PV (M)64.9166.1567.40
Year 3 PV (M)66.3268.2270.16
Year 4 PV (M)67.6570.2572.93
Year 5 PV (M)68.9272.2575.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,678.071,759.121,843.27
Equity Value (M)2,009.312,100.032,194.11
Shares Outstanding (M)63.0563.0563.05
Fair Value$31.87$33.31$34.80
Upside / Downside225.19%239.88%255.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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