Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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PT Jembo Cable Company Tbk (JECC.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,487.08 - $2,290.83$1,860.92
Multi-Stage$3,209.67 - $3,539.37$3,371.25
Blended Fair Value$2,616.09
Current Price$1,055.00
Upside147.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.38%0.00%50.0020.000.000.000.0059.3736.46120.0037.0412.00
YoY Growth--150.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%62.82%-69.62%223.99%208.65%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.68%2.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.24%2.85%10.91%2.65%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)122,505.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,480.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)115,025.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24,501.0315,313.149,187.89
Cash Retained (M)115,025.14115,025.14115,025.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-24,501.03-15,313.14-9,187.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)90,524.1199,711.99105,837.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)756.00756.00756.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share119.74131.89140.00
LTM Dividend per Share9.899.899.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share119.74131.89140.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend129.64141.79149.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,487.08$1,860.92$2,290.83
Upside / Downside40.96%76.39%117.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)122,505.14121,280.09120,067.28118,866.61117,677.95116,501.17119,996.20
Payout Ratio6.11%22.88%39.66%56.44%73.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,480.0027,754.5847,622.9167,091.1186,165.17104,851.05110,996.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)25,786.9726,050.1026,313.23
Year 2 PV (M)41,109.9941,953.2542,805.07
Year 3 PV (M)53,809.8955,474.0057,172.07
Year 4 PV (M)64,208.8266,869.9769,613.00
Year 5 PV (M)72,594.1176,374.2680,310.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,169,000.282,281,945.162,399,546.83
Equity Value (M)2,426,510.062,548,666.742,675,760.46
Shares Outstanding (M)756.00756.00756.00
Fair Value$3,209.67$3,371.25$3,539.37
Upside / Downside204.23%219.55%235.48%

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