Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Iveco Group N.V. (IVG.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.86 - $75.15$42.82
Multi-Stage$30.24 - $33.17$31.68
Blended Fair Value$37.25
Current Price$16.70
Upside123.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS146.50%0.00%0.340.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.25%0.00%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)322.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)234.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.4040.2524.15
Cash Retained (M)234.00234.00234.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.40-40.25-24.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)169.60193.75209.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)268.25268.25268.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.720.78
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.720.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Fair Value$27.86$42.82$75.15
Upside / Downside66.82%156.41%349.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)322.00335.06348.64362.78377.49392.80404.58
Payout Ratio27.33%39.86%52.40%64.93%77.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.00133.57182.68235.56292.43353.52374.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Year 1 PV (M)124.08125.29126.49
Year 2 PV (M)157.66160.74163.84
Year 3 PV (M)188.87194.42200.08
Year 4 PV (M)217.82226.40235.23
Year 5 PV (M)244.63256.73269.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,179.007,534.147,903.19
Equity Value (M)8,112.078,497.718,898.14
Shares Outstanding (M)268.25268.25268.25
Fair Value$30.24$31.68$33.17
Upside / Downside81.08%89.69%98.63%

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