Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Imperial Brands PLC (ITB.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: TobaccoSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.19 - $90.32$71.61
Multi-Stage$110.03 - $120.90$115.36
Blended Fair Value$93.48
Current Price$28.64
Upside226.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.77%1.23%1.481.501.511.492.002.111.911.751.581.44
YoY Growth---0.99%-0.61%1.15%-25.56%-4.93%10.02%9.69%10.25%10.09%9.57%
Dividend Yield--6.85%8.88%8.08%9.39%14.54%11.42%7.16%5.39%4.00%4.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,655.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,596.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,059.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)931.00581.88349.13
Cash Retained (M)2,059.002,059.002,059.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-931.00-581.88-349.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,128.001,477.131,709.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)875.48875.48875.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.291.691.95
LTM Dividend per Share2.972.972.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.291.691.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.254.654.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Fair Value$56.19$71.61$90.32
Upside / Downside96.19%150.02%215.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,655.004,665.924,676.874,687.844,698.834,709.864,851.15
Payout Ratio55.77%62.61%69.46%76.31%83.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,596.002,921.543,248.593,577.163,907.254,238.874,487.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.75%6.75%6.75%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Year 1 PV (M)2,709.572,736.882,764.18
Year 2 PV (M)2,794.302,850.902,908.07
Year 3 PV (M)2,853.682,940.833,029.73
Year 4 PV (M)2,890.873,009.173,131.06
Year 5 PV (M)2,908.683,058.223,213.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)82,173.8486,398.5290,795.19
Equity Value (M)96,330.95100,994.51105,842.08
Shares Outstanding (M)875.48875.48875.48
Fair Value$110.03$115.36$120.90
Upside / Downside284.19%302.79%322.13%

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