Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

Inoue Rubber (Thailand) Public Company Limited (IRC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.30 - $16.66$13.16
Multi-Stage$21.54 - $23.64$22.57
Blended Fair Value$17.86
Current Price$11.40
Upside56.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.93%2.90%0.870.420.290.890.570.430.930.881.070.92
YoY Growth--107.75%43.57%-67.10%55.20%31.66%-53.60%5.77%-17.49%16.34%40.85%
Dividend Yield--7.62%2.97%2.10%6.24%3.17%3.05%6.02%4.31%4.50%4.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)184.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)166.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.8523.0313.82
Cash Retained (M)17.4217.4217.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.85-23.03-13.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-19.43-5.613.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)192.00192.00192.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.030.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.870.870.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.030.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.770.840.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.85%0.15%1.15%
Fair Value$10.30$13.16$16.66
Upside / Downside-9.65%15.44%46.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)184.25184.53184.81185.08185.36185.64191.21
Payout Ratio90.55%90.44%90.33%90.22%90.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)166.84166.88166.93166.98167.03167.07176.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.85%0.15%1.15%
Year 1 PV (M)155.08156.64158.20
Year 2 PV (M)144.15147.07150.02
Year 3 PV (M)133.98138.08142.26
Year 4 PV (M)124.54129.64134.90
Year 5 PV (M)115.76121.72127.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,462.073,640.213,825.62
Equity Value (M)4,135.584,333.364,538.91
Shares Outstanding (M)192.00192.00192.00
Fair Value$21.54$22.57$23.64
Upside / Downside88.94%97.98%107.37%

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