Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.07 - $60.74$39.19
Multi-Stage$19.07 - $20.85$19.95
Blended Fair Value$29.57
Current Price$82.62
Upside-64.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.080.080.080.020.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---0.31%0.00%295.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.10%0.09%0.14%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)545.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)513.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)109.0268.1440.88
Cash Retained (M)513.00513.00513.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-109.02-68.14-40.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)403.98444.86472.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)403.70403.70403.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.001.101.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.001.101.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.081.181.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.07$39.19$60.74
Upside / Downside-67.24%-52.56%-26.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)545.10580.53618.27658.45701.25746.83769.24
Payout Ratio5.89%22.71%39.53%56.36%73.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.10131.84244.42371.07513.16672.15711.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)119.05120.18121.30
Year 2 PV (M)199.27203.07206.90
Year 3 PV (M)273.17281.01289.00
Year 4 PV (M)341.09354.21367.70
Year 5 PV (M)403.41422.89443.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,364.056,671.446,990.59
Equity Value (M)7,700.048,052.798,418.62
Shares Outstanding (M)403.70403.70403.70
Fair Value$19.07$19.95$20.85
Upside / Downside-76.91%-75.86%-74.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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