Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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IPOPEMA Securities S.A. (IPE.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.37 - $62.68$58.74
Multi-Stage$8.50 - $9.29$8.88
Blended Fair Value$33.81
Current Price$2.96
Upside1,042.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.310.150.320.380.000.000.040.030.110.00
YoY Growth--100.02%-51.62%-16.21%0.00%0.00%-100.00%33.30%-72.73%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--9.36%4.22%13.33%11.87%0.00%0.00%3.47%2.09%4.73%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.841.150.69
Cash Retained (M)2.942.942.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.84-1.15-0.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.091.782.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.2629.2629.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.280.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.37$58.74$62.68
Upside / Downside554.37%1,884.42%2,017.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.229.8210.4611.1411.8712.6413.02
Payout Ratio68.17%72.53%76.90%81.27%85.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.297.128.049.0510.1611.3712.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6.606.676.73
Year 2 PV (M)6.917.047.18
Year 3 PV (M)7.217.427.63
Year 4 PV (M)7.507.798.08
Year 5 PV (M)7.788.168.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)212.66222.93233.60
Equity Value (M)248.67260.00271.76
Shares Outstanding (M)29.2629.2629.26
Fair Value$8.50$8.88$9.29
Upside / Downside187.07%200.16%213.73%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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