Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

PT Indonesia Kendaraan Terminal Tbk (IPCC.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,202.39 - $26,836.25$25,149.49
Multi-Stage$4,007.09 - $4,381.76$4,191.00
Blended Fair Value$14,670.25
Current Price$1,010.00
Upside1,352.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.08%0.00%108.5162.2623.120.0055.8156.1557.2643.2737.7116.57
YoY Growth--74.29%169.29%0.00%-100.00%-0.61%-1.94%32.33%14.75%127.60%0.00%
Dividend Yield--14.00%8.96%3.70%0.00%9.62%20.20%4.31%2.52%2.20%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)245,375.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)158,119.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)87,255.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49,075.0530,671.9118,403.14
Cash Retained (M)87,255.7187,255.7187,255.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-49,075.05-30,671.91-18,403.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)38,180.6656,583.8168,852.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,818.401,818.401,818.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.0031.1237.86
LTM Dividend per Share86.9686.9686.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.0031.1237.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend107.95118.07124.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11,202.39$25,149.49$26,836.25
Upside / Downside1,009.15%2,390.05%2,557.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)245,375.26261,324.65278,310.75296,400.95315,667.01336,185.37346,270.93
Payout Ratio64.44%69.55%74.66%79.78%84.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)158,119.54181,756.29207,797.75236,456.69267,963.34302,566.83320,300.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)169,034.28170,636.50172,238.72
Year 2 PV (M)179,726.25183,149.53186,605.11
Year 3 PV (M)190,198.73195,658.65201,222.07
Year 4 PV (M)200,454.92208,163.85216,093.02
Year 5 PV (M)210,498.01220,665.14231,221.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,336,577.306,642,636.366,960,409.01
Equity Value (M)7,286,489.497,620,910.037,967,789.32
Shares Outstanding (M)1,818.401,818.401,818.40
Fair Value$4,007.09$4,191.00$4,381.76
Upside / Downside296.74%314.95%333.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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