Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Inter Parfums, Inc. (IPAR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$127.48 - $366.63$199.69
Multi-Stage$88.92 - $96.97$92.87
Blended Fair Value$146.28
Current Price$131.31
Upside11.40%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.66%20.53%2.992.491.980.990.651.080.820.660.560.49
YoY Growth--19.96%25.58%101.15%52.32%-39.83%31.54%24.04%17.64%13.98%6.50%
Dividend Yield--2.62%1.80%1.39%1.12%0.91%2.32%1.08%1.40%1.53%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)164.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)101.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.9020.5612.34
Cash Retained (M)63.3963.3963.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.90-20.56-12.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.4842.8251.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.1532.1532.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.951.331.59
LTM Dividend per Share3.153.153.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.951.331.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.094.484.73
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$127.48$199.69$366.63
Upside / Downside-2.92%52.08%179.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)164.52175.21186.60198.73211.65225.40232.16
Payout Ratio61.47%67.18%72.88%78.59%84.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)101.13117.70136.00156.18178.40202.86214.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.89%8.89%8.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)107.08108.09109.11
Year 2 PV (M)112.56114.70116.87
Year 3 PV (M)117.59120.97124.41
Year 4 PV (M)122.21126.91131.74
Year 5 PV (M)126.42132.53138.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,273.012,382.802,496.79
Equity Value (M)2,858.872,986.003,117.78
Shares Outstanding (M)32.1532.1532.15
Fair Value$88.92$92.87$96.97
Upside / Downside-32.28%-29.27%-26.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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