Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.35 - $105.56$65.50
Multi-Stage$30.97 - $33.84$32.38
Blended Fair Value$48.94
Current Price$68.81
Upside-28.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.30%14.87%0.210.100.090.090.070.070.070.060.060.06
YoY Growth--119.05%5.00%5.26%18.75%3.23%6.90%3.57%7.69%4.00%8.70%
Dividend Yield--0.50%0.34%0.44%0.52%0.40%0.65%0.49%0.38%0.68%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)917.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)125.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)792.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)183.40114.6368.78
Cash Retained (M)792.00792.00792.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-183.40-114.63-68.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)608.60677.38723.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)440.68440.68440.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.541.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.541.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.661.821.92
WACC / Discount Rate9.46%9.46%9.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$44.35$65.50$105.56
Upside / Downside-35.55%-4.80%53.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)917.00976.611,040.081,107.691,179.691,256.371,294.06
Payout Ratio13.63%28.91%44.18%59.45%74.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)125.00282.29459.50658.55881.541,130.731,197.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.46%9.46%9.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)255.47257.89260.31
Year 2 PV (M)376.34383.50390.74
Year 3 PV (M)488.12502.13516.41
Year 4 PV (M)591.33614.07637.46
Year 5 PV (M)686.42719.58754.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,248.0711,791.3612,355.44
Equity Value (M)13,645.7514,268.5314,914.36
Shares Outstanding (M)440.68440.68440.68
Fair Value$30.97$32.38$33.84
Upside / Downside-55.00%-52.95%-50.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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