Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hove A/S (HOVE.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.84 - $6.00$4.83
Multi-Stage$9.12 - $10.05$9.58
Blended Fair Value$7.21
Current Price$3.14
Upside129.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.110.090.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%30.84%328.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%2.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.991.240.75
Cash Retained (M)6.496.496.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.99-1.24-0.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.505.255.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.9124.9124.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.84$4.83$6.00
Upside / Downside22.20%53.89%91.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.959.859.759.659.559.469.74
Payout Ratio34.71%45.77%56.82%67.88%78.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.454.515.546.557.548.519.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4.204.244.29
Year 2 PV (M)4.824.925.02
Year 3 PV (M)5.315.485.64
Year 4 PV (M)5.705.946.18
Year 5 PV (M)6.006.316.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)201.29211.77222.69
Equity Value (M)227.33238.66250.46
Shares Outstanding (M)24.9124.9124.91
Fair Value$9.12$9.58$10.05
Upside / Downside190.59%205.08%220.15%

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