Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Honeywell International Inc. (HON)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81.29 - $122.34$100.69
Multi-Stage$133.45 - $146.37$139.79
Blended Fair Value$120.24
Current Price$210.50
Upside-42.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.51%6.75%4.494.424.214.064.013.783.513.282.962.67
YoY Growth--1.65%5.00%3.54%1.31%6.14%7.48%7.22%10.65%10.95%14.30%
Dividend Yield--2.12%2.19%2.20%2.09%1.85%2.82%2.18%2.37%2.48%2.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,129.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,955.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,174.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,225.80766.13459.68
Cash Retained (M)3,174.003,174.003,174.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,225.80-766.13-459.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,948.202,407.882,714.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)646.55646.55646.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.013.724.20
LTM Dividend per Share4.574.574.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.013.724.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.588.298.77
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-0.86%0.14%1.14%
Fair Value$81.29$100.69$122.34
Upside / Downside-61.38%-52.17%-41.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,129.006,137.826,146.656,155.506,164.366,173.236,358.42
Payout Ratio48.21%56.57%64.93%73.29%81.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,955.003,472.213,990.904,511.085,032.755,555.905,881.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate-0.86%0.14%1.14%
Year 1 PV (M)3,171.353,203.343,235.33
Year 2 PV (M)3,329.263,396.763,464.93
Year 3 PV (M)3,437.133,542.183,649.36
Year 4 PV (M)3,502.343,645.803,793.61
Year 5 PV (M)3,531.403,713.123,902.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)69,312.7872,879.5876,591.72
Equity Value (M)86,284.2590,380.7794,637.20
Shares Outstanding (M)646.55646.55646.55
Fair Value$133.45$139.79$146.37
Upside / Downside-36.60%-33.59%-30.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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