Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hemisphere Energy Corporation (HME.V)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.76 - $64.26$56.21
Multi-Stage$8.29 - $9.06$8.67
Blended Fair Value$32.44
Current Price$1.84
Upside1,662.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.160.130.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.03%70.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.73%8.07%6.07%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.393.992.39
Cash Retained (M)13.4413.4413.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.39-3.99-2.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.059.4511.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)98.8298.8298.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.280.30
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.76$56.21$64.26
Upside / Downside865.14%2,954.82%3,392.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.9334.0136.2238.5741.0843.7545.06
Payout Ratio57.92%64.33%70.75%77.17%83.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.4921.8825.6229.7734.3439.3841.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20.2520.4420.63
Year 2 PV (M)21.9522.3722.79
Year 3 PV (M)23.6024.2724.96
Year 4 PV (M)25.1926.1627.16
Year 5 PV (M)26.7428.0329.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)701.32735.20770.37
Equity Value (M)819.04856.46895.28
Shares Outstanding (M)98.8298.8298.82
Fair Value$8.29$8.67$9.06
Upside / Downside350.43%371.01%392.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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