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The Hackett Group, Inc. (HCKT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.27 - $6.94$5.47
Multi-Stage$6.42 - $7.02$6.72
Blended Fair Value$6.09
Current Price$19.29
Upside-68.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.59%13.19%0.430.420.370.460.530.400.360.310.250.11
YoY Growth--1.17%14.71%-19.00%-13.74%33.41%11.43%15.89%21.04%133.55%-12.57%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.74%2.00%1.93%3.14%3.24%2.25%1.91%1.30%0.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.181.360.82
Cash Retained (M)1.531.531.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.18-1.36-0.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.650.170.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.2728.2728.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate8.15%8.15%8.15%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$4.27$5.47$6.94
Upside / Downside-77.86%-71.66%-64.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.9211.1211.3211.5411.7511.9712.33
Payout Ratio85.97%86.78%87.58%88.39%89.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9.389.659.9210.2010.4810.7711.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.15%8.15%8.15%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)8.838.929.01
Year 2 PV (M)8.318.488.65
Year 3 PV (M)7.828.068.30
Year 4 PV (M)7.367.667.97
Year 5 PV (M)6.937.287.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)142.33149.53157.01
Equity Value (M)181.59189.93198.58
Shares Outstanding (M)28.2728.2728.27
Fair Value$6.42$6.72$7.02
Upside / Downside-66.70%-65.17%-63.59%

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