Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Hanmi Financial Corporation (HAFC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.53 - $175.44$95.03
Multi-Stage$41.35 - $45.13$43.21
Blended Fair Value$69.12
Current Price$24.69
Upside179.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.40%16.33%1.011.020.950.550.530.991.030.860.850.43
YoY Growth---0.51%6.63%73.40%3.47%-46.40%-3.70%19.80%0.58%100.74%90.96%
Dividend Yield--4.47%6.57%5.14%2.24%2.69%9.14%4.72%2.80%2.78%1.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)40.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.519.075.44
Cash Retained (M)40.4740.4740.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.51-9.07-5.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.9631.4035.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.0230.0230.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.861.051.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.071.071.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.861.051.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.932.112.24
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$60.53$95.03$175.44
Upside / Downside145.15%284.90%610.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.5577.2682.2887.6393.3399.39102.37
Payout Ratio44.22%53.38%62.53%71.69%80.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.0841.2451.4562.8275.4589.4594.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.87%8.87%8.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)37.5237.8838.23
Year 2 PV (M)42.6043.4144.23
Year 3 PV (M)47.3348.6850.07
Year 4 PV (M)51.7253.7155.75
Year 5 PV (M)55.7958.4961.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,006.241,054.841,105.31
Equity Value (M)1,241.201,297.011,354.88
Shares Outstanding (M)30.0230.0230.02
Fair Value$41.35$43.21$45.13
Upside / Downside67.46%74.99%82.80%

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