Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Haemato AG (HAEK.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.98 - $18.65$15.75
Multi-Stage$35.64 - $39.24$37.40
Blended Fair Value$26.58
Current Price$23.00
Upside15.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-2.70%24.08%1.100.530.000.441.271.271.021.201.200.65
YoY Growth--108.32%0.00%-100.00%-65.35%0.00%24.39%-14.97%0.01%82.97%412.34%
Dividend Yield--6.73%2.21%0.00%1.48%2.68%2.48%1.58%2.44%2.85%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.991.250.75
Cash Retained (M)1.461.461.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.99-1.25-0.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.540.210.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.215.215.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.14
LTM Dividend per Share1.631.631.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.531.671.77
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-4.70%-3.70%-2.70%
Fair Value$12.98$15.75$18.65
Upside / Downside-43.55%-31.52%-18.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.979.609.258.908.578.268.50
Payout Ratio85.37%86.29%87.22%88.15%89.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.518.288.067.857.647.437.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-4.70%-3.70%-2.70%
Year 1 PV (M)7.707.787.86
Year 2 PV (M)6.967.107.25
Year 3 PV (M)6.296.496.69
Year 4 PV (M)5.695.936.18
Year 5 PV (M)5.145.415.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)153.92162.17170.76
Equity Value (M)185.69194.88204.45
Shares Outstanding (M)5.215.215.21
Fair Value$35.64$37.40$39.24
Upside / Downside54.95%62.62%70.60%

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