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Definitive Analysis

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Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones Habitat S.A. (HABITAT.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,433.89 - $2,210.08$1,794.76
Multi-Stage$2,860.39 - $3,140.28$2,997.63
Blended Fair Value$2,396.20
Current Price$1,090.50
Upside119.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS13.05%0.00%119.97107.97119.97109.9730.5364.980.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.11%-10.00%9.09%260.24%-53.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.91%12.26%22.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154,999.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)44,999.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30,999.9819,374.9911,624.99
Cash Retained (M)44,999.9044,999.9044,999.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-30,999.98-19,374.99-11,624.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)13,999.9225,624.9133,374.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,000.261,000.261,000.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.0025.6233.37
LTM Dividend per Share109.97109.97109.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.0025.6233.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend123.97135.59143.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-1.40%-0.40%0.60%
Fair Value$1,433.89$1,794.76$2,210.08
Upside / Downside31.49%64.58%102.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154,999.90154,383.92153,770.40153,159.31152,550.65151,944.41156,502.74
Payout Ratio70.97%74.77%78.58%82.39%86.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110,000.00115,439.39120,833.81126,183.54131,488.83136,749.97144,765.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-1.40%-0.40%0.60%
Year 1 PV (M)106,677.18107,759.07108,840.96
Year 2 PV (M)103,186.63105,290.23107,415.05
Year 3 PV (M)99,576.11102,636.55105,759.08
Year 4 PV (M)95,886.7999,836.19103,906.36
Year 5 PV (M)92,154.0996,922.85101,887.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,363,652.642,485,966.072,613,291.44
Equity Value (M)2,861,133.442,998,410.963,141,099.89
Shares Outstanding (M)1,000.261,000.261,000.26
Fair Value$2,860.39$2,997.63$3,140.28
Upside / Downside162.30%174.89%187.97%

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