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First US Bancshares, Inc. (FUSB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$145.07 - $184.17$172.60
Multi-Stage$31.25 - $34.23$32.71
Blended Fair Value$102.65
Current Price$12.02
Upside754.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.60%21.45%0.210.200.140.120.120.090.080.080.080.08
YoY Growth--7.57%41.23%11.68%0.68%31.67%13.54%1.85%0.62%-0.21%167.40%
Dividend Yield--1.57%2.21%1.85%1.06%1.32%1.52%0.82%0.71%0.65%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.120.700.42
Cash Retained (M)4.094.094.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.12-0.70-0.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.973.393.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.026.026.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.490.560.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.490.560.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.810.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.04%6.04%6.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$145.07$172.60$184.17
Upside / Downside1,106.89%1,335.92%1,432.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.585.946.336.747.177.647.87
Payout Ratio26.72%39.37%52.03%64.69%77.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.492.343.294.365.556.887.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.04%6.04%6.04%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.182.212.23
Year 2 PV (M)2.872.932.98
Year 3 PV (M)3.553.653.76
Year 4 PV (M)4.234.394.56
Year 5 PV (M)4.895.135.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)170.46178.69187.24
Equity Value (M)188.19197.00206.14
Shares Outstanding (M)6.026.026.02
Fair Value$31.25$32.71$34.23
Upside / Downside159.98%172.15%184.77%

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