Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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H.B. Fuller Company (FUL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.56 - $123.70$72.28
Multi-Stage$33.47 - $36.53$34.97
Blended Fair Value$53.63
Current Price$61.05
Upside-12.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.02%7.50%0.850.780.700.630.600.580.560.530.490.46
YoY Growth--9.69%10.68%12.47%4.18%3.41%3.96%5.11%7.61%7.14%11.24%
Dividend Yield--1.50%0.98%0.97%0.89%1.07%1.48%1.09%1.07%1.00%1.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)114.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.9814.368.62
Cash Retained (M)65.1665.1665.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.98-14.36-8.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.1850.8056.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)55.7655.7655.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.760.911.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.760.911.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.651.801.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.56$72.28$123.70
Upside / Downside-22.10%18.40%102.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)114.88122.34130.30138.77147.79157.39162.11
Payout Ratio43.28%52.62%61.97%71.31%80.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.7264.3880.7498.96119.20141.65149.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)58.4358.9859.53
Year 2 PV (M)66.5067.7669.04
Year 3 PV (M)73.9676.0878.25
Year 4 PV (M)80.8583.9687.16
Year 5 PV (M)87.2091.4195.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,499.371,571.791,646.98
Equity Value (M)1,866.301,949.982,036.74
Shares Outstanding (M)55.7655.7655.76
Fair Value$33.47$34.97$36.53
Upside / Downside-45.17%-42.71%-40.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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