Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Franklin Financial Services Corporation (FRAF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$214.42 - $698.27$654.36
Multi-Stage$103.18 - $112.98$107.99
Blended Fair Value$381.17
Current Price$46.00
Upside728.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.93%7.05%1.271.261.271.241.181.151.030.910.790.71
YoY Growth--0.61%-1.11%2.43%5.70%2.17%11.24%14.07%14.42%12.23%10.26%
Dividend Yield--3.57%4.87%4.29%3.68%3.77%4.19%2.87%2.48%2.60%3.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.131.961.18
Cash Retained (M)9.899.899.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.13-1.96-1.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.767.938.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.444.444.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.521.781.96
LTM Dividend per Share1.301.301.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.521.781.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.823.093.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Fair Value$214.42$654.36$698.27
Upside / Downside366.13%1,322.52%1,417.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15.6716.6217.6318.6919.8221.0321.66
Payout Ratio36.88%47.50%58.13%68.75%79.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.787.8910.2512.8515.7418.9220.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Year 1 PV (M)7.357.427.49
Year 2 PV (M)8.879.049.22
Year 3 PV (M)10.3610.6610.96
Year 4 PV (M)11.8112.2612.73
Year 5 PV (M)13.2113.8514.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)407.01426.75447.26
Equity Value (M)458.61479.99502.17
Shares Outstanding (M)4.444.444.44
Fair Value$103.18$107.99$112.98
Upside / Downside124.30%134.76%145.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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